TheraRadar
Landscape / Oncology
Page updated Jul 4, 2026 · using data updated on Jun 28, 2026

Endometrial Cancer Clinical Trial Landscape

Endometrial Cancer is being studied across 457 clinical trials registered since 2008, with 241 programs currently active. The competitive pipeline includes 30 active Phase 3 trials, 137 active Phase 2 trials, and 70 active Phase 1 trials.

Top industry sponsors include AstraZeneca, Merck, Genmab.

Trial activity

241 active / 457 total since 2008
Active by phase 30 Ph3 / 48 137 Ph2 / 264 70 Ph1 / 134 4 Ph4 / 11

Competitive Intelligence

This Endometrial Cancer competitive landscape maps 7 companies against 9 mechanisms of action (MOA) across 10 active drug-development programs, including 3 with a confirmed FDA PDUFA date. Each cell is the lead program for a company–mechanism pair — its trial phase, modality, combination, and nearest readout. Read down a column to see who is competing on the same mechanism in Endometrial Cancer, across a row to see one company's mechanistic spread, and click any cell for the full program list and trial links.

Beta 7 companies 9 mechanisms 10 programs mapped 1 lowTrust (10%) 3 ⚖ PDUFA-dated ⏰ 4 due ≤6 mo click any cell → asset tearsheet
At a glance

Endometrial Cancer shows 10 programs across 7 companies and 9 mechanisms. The most contested mechanism is PD-1 (dostarlimab) (4 programs).

Key findings
  • Top 3 mechanisms (PD-1 (dostarlimab), B7-H4 ADC, FRα ADC) account for ~18% of programs — class concentration is low.
  • GSK runs 7 programs — the deepest pipeline in this view.
  • 12 hot readouts in next 6 months — most imminent: Epsilogen (FOLR1).
  • 7 trials are stale (overdue without status change) — possible class-maturity inflection or operational issue.
  • 31 single-program mechanisms in the long tail — 3 are Ph2+ first-in-class first-mover bets.
  • 22 NME candidates in the long tail.
  • Most-novel-of-novel: Kartos MDM2 inhibitor (Ph2+Ph3) — first-in-class within scope + NME candidate.

Forward catalysts next 18 months⏰ 4 due ≤6 mo⚖ 3 PDUFA-dated

Nearest first. ⚖ Confirmed FDA PDUFA dates (curated calendar, primary sources) and 📅 estimated readouts (ClinicalTrials.gov primaryCompletionDate — a timing proxy, not a confirmed action date). Red = due within 6 months.

Company × Mechanism

Each cell = a company’s most-advanced program in that mechanism. Click for the asset tearsheet.
Unverified (lowTrust) cells:
Ph1 Ph2 Ph3 Ph4 ⚠ lowTrust +combo
Select & Focus Pro 🔒 Transpose, filtering, selection & export are Pro (search & sort are free) — start a free trial, or try them free on our showcase →
PD-1 (dostarlimab)
Multikinase (VEGFR)
PD-1 (pembrolizumab)
TROP-2 ADC (next-gen)
MUC16 × CD3
EGFR / HER3 bispecific ADC
FRα ADC
B7-H4 ADC
FOLR1
GSK
Merck & Co.
Eisai
Evergreen
Regeneron
🇨🇳Sichuan Baili
AstraZeneca

Phase 3 leaders · most advanced

  1. recruiting National Cancer Institute (NCI) NCT07198074
  2. recruiting Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC NCT06952504
  3. recruiting Genmab NCT07166094
  4. recruiting AstraZeneca NCT06989112
  5. active National Cancer Institute (NCI) NCT03914612

Beyond the grid Beta

What the matrix leaves out — rare mechanisms with only one player, small & emerging sponsors, and programs we haven’t classified yet.

Single-company mechanisms — BD white space 8 found

Mechanisms only ONE company is pursuing in this indication — the uncrowded / first-in-class bets the matrix cap hides. ⚡ first-in-class · ⚠ unverified mechanism. ⚡ first-in-class is computed across 61 mapped landscapes — scope-limited, not a global claim.
⚡ first-in-class · 🌱 first-in-indication · 🆕 NME candidate · ✅ AI-classified + verified · ⚙️ AI-classified, unverified · first-in-class computed across 61 mapped landscapes
Single-program mechanisms (31) — one program each — earliest-stage, sorted by phase
PhaseMechanismCompanyModalityReadoutTrial
Ph3 Anti-PD-L1 (mAb) 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ Chia Tai Tianqing Pharmac… Oral 4Q27 NCT06475599
Ph3 Exportin-1 inhibitor ⚡ 🌱 Karyopharm ⏰ 3Q26 NCT05611931
Ph3 HER2 ADC 🌱 Daiichi Sankyo IV 1Q32 NCT07022483
Ph2+Ph3 MDM2 inhibitor ⚡ 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ Kartos 3Q25 NCT05797831
Ph3 PARP 🌱 AstraZeneca IV 4Q28 NCT06746116
Ph3 Trop-2 ADC 🌱 Gilead Sciences IV 2Q29 NCT06486441
Ph3 TROP2 ADC 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ BioNTech IV 1Q28 NCT06340568
Ph3 VEGFR TKI 🌱 Hutchmed IV 1Q29 NCT06584032
Ph2 AKT inhibitor 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ Convalife (Shanghai) 1Q28 NCT07446049
Ph1+Ph2 Anti-CA19-9 ADC 🌱 🆕 BioNTech 2Q30 NCT07186842
Ph2 B7-H3 ADC 🌱 🆕 Daiichi Sankyo 3Q28 NCT06330064
Ph1+Ph2 CDK2/4 inhibitor 🌱 🆕 Shenzhen Ionova Life Scie… 1Q28 NCT07612891
Ph2 Corticosteroid 🌱 Corcept IV ⏰ 3Q26 NCT06906341
Ph2 FKBP-12 ⚡ 🌱 Aadi Bioscience Oral ⏰ 4Q26 NCT05997017
Ph1+Ph2 NETRIN1 🌱 🆕 NETRIS Pharma IV 4Q25 NCT04652076
Ph1+Ph2 Nucleotide excision repair (NER) inhibitor 🌱 🆕 GSK 3Q28 NCT07213609
Ph2 Oral SERD 🌱 🆕 Roche / Genentech Oral ⏰ 3Q26 NCT05634499
Ph2 PD-1 × CTLA-4 bispecific 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ MacroGenics 3Q27 NCT06730347
Ph1+Ph2 PD-1 inhibitor 🌱 🆕 GSK ⏰ 2Q26 NCT06710847
Ph2 PD-L1 (SC) 🌱 3D Medicines (Sichuan) Oral ⏰ 4Q26 NCT05112991
Ph1+Ph2 PD-L1 / VEGF bispecific 🌱 🆕 Huabo Biopharm IV 4Q25 NCT06758557
Ph1+Ph2 Superoxide dismutase mimetic 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ BioMimetix JV IV 1Q27 NCT06620029
Ph1+Ph2 T CELL RECEPTOR 🌱 🆕 Marengo ⏰ 4Q26 NCT05592626
Ph2 TIL therapy 🌱 Iovance Biotherapeutics Cell therapy 2Q28 NCT06481592
Ph1 Claudin 6 🌱 🆕 BioNTech Cell & Gene Ther… Cell therapy 3Q28 NCT04503278
Ph1 Claudin-6 ADC 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ Context 2Q28 NCT06515613
Ph1 Estrogen receptor (SERD) 🌱 🆕 Shanghai Best-Link Biosci… 1Q26 NCT06738966
Ph1 GPRC5D × CD3 bispecific 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ Boehringer Ingelheim 3Q29 NCT07306559
Ph1 Grb2 antisense oligonucleotide 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ Bio-Path Holdings IT 3Q27 NCT04196257
Ph1 LAG-3 × PD-1 bispecific 🌱 🆕 ⚙️ Xencor 4Q27 NCT06276491
Ph1 PTK7 ADC 🌱 🆕 Whitehawk 4Q28 NCT07444814
Emerging & small-cap sponsors (7) — few programs here — partnering / M&A radar
PhaseMechanismCompanyModalityReadoutTrial
Ph1 FRα ADC AbbVie 1Q27 NCT05527184
Ph1 FOLR1 Epsilogen ⏰ 3Q26 NCT06547840
Ph3 FRα ADC Genmab 3Q29 NCT07166094
Ph2 🇨🇳 B7-H4 ADC Hansoh BioMedical R&D Com… 4Q25 NCT06014190
Ph1 B7-H4 ADC Mersana ⏰ 4Q26 NCT05377996
Ph3 PD-1 × VEGF bispecific Pfizer IV 2Q29 NCT07578649
Ph2 🇨🇳 PD-1 × VEGF bispecific Sunshine Guojian Pharmace… IV 3Q25 NCT06522828
Unclassified programs (9) — mechanism not captured yet
PhaseMechanismCompanyModalityReadoutTrial
Ph3 Trastuzumab deruxtecan, Rilvegostomig, Pembrolizumabunclassified AstraZeneca NCT06989112
Ph2 ACR-368, Gemcitabineunclassified Acrivon Therapeutics NCT05548296
Ph1+Ph2 Elironrasib, Daraxonrasibunclassified Revolution Medicines, Inc. NCT06128551
Ph1+Ph2 STX-478, Fulvestrant, Ribociclibunclassified Eli Lilly and Company NCT05768139
Ph1+Ph2 Torvutatug samrotecan, Saruparib, Bevacizumabunclassified AstraZeneca NCT05797168
Ph2 Sapanisertib, Serabelisib, Paclitaxelunclassified Faeth Therapeutics NCT06463028
Ph1 HWK-016, MUCIN-16-targeted ADC, Bevacizumabunclassified Whitehawk Therapeutics, I… NCT07470853
Ph1 [14C] AZD6738, AZD6738 / ceralasertibunclassified AstraZeneca NCT06754761
Ph1 OPB-201unclassified Outpace Bio, Inc. NCT07664735
Drugs in this landscape: Dostarlimab · pembrolizumab · Lenvatinib · Lenvatinib Capsules

Sponsor activity

Who is running trials now — green active, blue completed, red failed/terminated.

Sorted by active Active Done Failed
AstraZeneca 8 1 0
Merck 3 2 0
Genmab 2 1 4
Xencor, Inc. 2 3 0
Daiichi Sankyo 2 1 0
NextCure, Inc. 2 1 0
Regeneron 2 0 0
Radiopharm Theranostics, Ltd 2 0 0
Whitehawk Therapeutics, Inc. 2 0 0
SystImmune Inc. 2 0 0
MacroGenics 2 0 0
Evergreen Therapeutics, Inc. 2 0 0
GV20 Therapeutics 2 0 0
Shenzhen Ionova Life Sciences Co., Ltd. 2 0 0
Novartis 1 3 1

All 15 active Endometrial Cancer sponsors

Unlock the remaining 7 sponsors with active / completed / failed counts — sortable and exportable.

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How the field has grown

New-trial starts peaked in 2024 (55 registered); 2025 saw 45. The right-hand chart shows median Phase 3 enrollment by start year — the number in parentheses is that year's Phase 3 trial count (43 in total), so single-trial years (and years with no Phase 3 starts) are obvious. Both are by trial start date; the current year is partial.

New trials started by year

2016
18
2017
21
2018
26
2019
30
2020
27
2021
35
2022
37
2023
47
2024
55
2025
45
2026
31

TheraRadar.com

Median Phase 3 enrollment by start year

2016 (1)
550
2017 (1)
1
2018 (3)
263
2019 (4)
163
2020 (2)
19
2021 (4)
412
2022 (7)
294
2023 (3)
268
2024 (8)
406
2025 (6)
685
2026 (4)
355

TheraRadar.com

Full trial pipeline

Every active and completed trial across Phase 1–4, with enrollment analytics. Sortable, filterable, exportable with Pro.

NCT07198074 RECRUITING
Testing the Addition of an Antiangiogenic Drug (Bevacizumab) to Chemotherapy (Carboplatin and Paclitaxel) Combined With Immunotherapy (Pembrolizumab) for pMMR, TP53 Mutated Endometrial Cancer
National Cancer Institute (NCI) n=255
NCT07578649 NOT YET RECRUITING
Symbiotic-GYN-18: A Study to Learn About the Study Medicine Called PF-08634404 in Combination With Chemotherapy in Adult Participants With Advanced or Recurrent MMR-proficient Endometrial Cancer
Pfizer n=600
NCT06952504 RECRUITING
A Study to Compare Sacituzumab Tirumotecan (MK-2870) in Combination With Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) Versus Pembrolizumab Alone as Treatment in Participants With Mismatch Repair Proficient Endometrial Cancer (MK-2870-033/TroFuse-033/GOG-3119/ENGOT-en29)
Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC n=1,123
NCT07166094 RECRUITING
Study to Assess the Efficacy and Safety of Rina-S Compared to Treatment of Investigator's Choice in Participants With Endometrial Cancer
Genmab n=660
NCT06989112 RECRUITING
DESTINY-Endometrial01: A Phase III Study of Trastuzumab Deruxtecan Plus Rilvegostomig or Pembrolizumab as First-Line Treatment of HER2-Expressing (IHC 3+/2+), Mismatch Repair Proficient (pMMR) Endometrial Cancer
AstraZeneca n=600
NCT03914612 ACTIVE NOT RECRUITING
Testing the Addition of the Immunotherapy Drug Pembrolizumab to the Usual Chemotherapy Treatment (Paclitaxel and Carboplatin) in Stage III-IV or Recurrent Endometrial Cancer
National Cancer Institute (NCI) n=813
NCT06340568 RECRUITING
A Clinical Study of the Anti-cancer Effects of an Investigational Therapy or Chemotherapy in Patients With Recurring Uterine Cancer
BioNTech SE n=480
NCT05611931 ACTIVE NOT RECRUITING
Selinexor in Maintenance Therapy After Systemic Therapy for Participants With p53 Wild-Type, Advanced or Recurrent Endometrial Carcinoma
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc n=257
NCT03785288 RECRUITING
Vaginal Cuff Brachytherapy Fractionation Study
Kara Romano, MD n=258
NCT06746116 ACTIVE NOT RECRUITING
A Study to Evaluate the Use of Durvalumab in Combination With Platinum-based Chemotherapy Followed by Durvalumab With Olaparib as First-line Treatment in Advanced or Recurrent Endometrial Cancer in Spain
AstraZeneca n=45
NCT07044336 RECRUITING
Puxitatug Samrotecan (AZD8205) Monotherapy vs Chemotherapy in B7-H4-selected Endometrial Cancer (Bluestar-Endometrial01)
AstraZeneca n=800
NCT06132958 ACTIVE NOT RECRUITING
Sacituzumab Tirumotecan (MK-2870) in Post Platinum and Post Immunotherapy Endometrial Cancer (MK-2870-005)
Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC n=710
NCT04789694 RECRUITING
Prehabilitation in Gynaecological Cancer Patients
Charles University, Czech Republic n=64
NCT07319429 RECRUITING
Refining Fertility-sparing Treatment in Endometrial Carcinoma Based on Molecular Classification
Fudan University n=260
NCT07022483 RECRUITING
Study of Trastuzumab Deruxtecan Versus Standard of Care Chemotherapy for HER2-Expressing (IHC 3+/2+) Endometrial Cancer
Daiichi Sankyo n=710
NCT04073706 RECRUITING
Sentinel Node Biopsy in Endometrial Cancer
Queensland Centre for Gynaecological Cancer n=760
NCT06712472 RECRUITING
Randomized Phase III Trial Testing Maintenance Olaparib Versus Observation After Adjuvant Chemoradiation for p53abn Endometrial Cancer
Gustave Roussy, Cancer Campus, Grand Paris n=554
NCT06486441 ACTIVE NOT RECRUITING
Study of Sacituzumab Govitecan Versus Treatment of Physician's Choice in Participants With Endometrial Cancer After Platinum-Based Chemotherapy and Immunotherapy (ASCENT-GYN-01/GOG-3104/ENGOT-en26)
Gilead Sciences n=640
NCT05077215 NOT YET RECRUITING
Efficacy and Safety of a Repurposed Drug Added to the Combination of Len Plus Pem in Advanced Endometrial Cancer
Evergreen Therapeutics, Inc. n=450
NCT06851663 RECRUITING
Trop2-targeted immunoPET Imaging of Solid Tumors
RenJi Hospital n=400
NCT05201547 ACTIVE NOT RECRUITING
Endometrial Cancer Patientes MMR Deficient Comparing Chemotherapy vs Dostarlimab in First Line
ARCAGY/ GINECO GROUP n=260
NCT05078047 RECRUITING
Study Comparing the Standard Administration of IO Versus the Same IO Administered Each 3 Months in Patients in Response After 6 Months of Standard IO
UNICANCER n=646
NCT06584032 RECRUITING
Study of Fruquintinib Plus Sintilimab for Treatment of Advanced Endometrial Cancer
Hutchmed n=412
NCT05255653 RECRUITING
Refining Adjuvant Treatment IN Endometrial Cancer Based On Molecular Features
Leiden University Medical Center n=1,615
NCT06475599 NOT YET RECRUITING
Anlotinib Hydrochloride Capsules Combined With TQB2450 in the Treatment of Endometrial Cancer
Chia Tai Tianqing Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. n=420
NCT05797831 RECRUITING
Study of Navtemadlin as Maintenance Therapy in TP53WT Advanced or Recurrent Endometrial Cancer
Kartos Therapeutics, Inc. n=268
NCT03469674 ACTIVE NOT RECRUITING
PORTEC-4a: Molecular Profile-based Versus Standard Adjuvant Radiotherapy in Endometrial Cancer
Leiden University Medical Center n=550
NCT05524389 NOT YET RECRUITING
Study of Early Stage Endometrial Cancer Based on Molecular Classification and Traditional Risk Stratification to Guide Adjuvant Radiotherapy Decisions
Peking Union Medical College Hospital n=624
NCT05489848 NOT YET RECRUITING
Chemotherapy vs Chemoradiotherapy for Post-operative Endometrial Cancer Patients With P53-mutation
Fudan University n=294
NCT03463252 RECRUITING
Value of LNG-IUS as Fertility-preserving Treatment of EAH and EC
West China Second University Hospital n=224
NCT05256225 SUSPENDED
Testing the Addition of Herceptin Hylecta or Phesgo to the Usual Chemotherapy for HER2 Positive Endometrial Serous Carcinoma or Carcinosarcoma
National Cancer Institute (NCI) n=360
NCT03555422 COMPLETED
Maintenance With Selinexor/Placebo After Combination Chemotherapy in Participants With Endometrial Cancer [SIENDO]
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc n=263
NCT05454358 TERMINATED
Letrozole as Maintenance Therapy for Post-surgical Endometrial Cancer Patients With NSMP
Fudan University n=12
NCT06007586 COMPLETED
Prevention and Treatment of CINV Caused by TC Regimen in Gynecological Malignant Tumor Patients
Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Research Institute n=143
NCT06321068 TERMINATED
BAT1308 in Combination With Platinum-containing Chemotherapy is Used for the First-line Treatment of Advanced or Recurrent dMMR Endometrial Cancer
Bio-Thera Solutions n=5
NCT04159155 TERMINATED
A Study of Various Treatments in Serous or p53 Abnormal Endometrial Cancer
University Health Network, Toronto n=11
NCT05316467 TERMINATED
Weight Management Plus Megestrol Acetate in Early-stage Endometrioid Carcinoma
Xiaojun Chen n=8
NCT03603184 COMPLETED
Atezolizumab Trial in Endometrial Cancer - AtTEnd
Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research n=549
NCT06732635 COMPLETED
Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) for Laparoscopic Hysterectomy at Low Risk Endometrial Cancer
Fundacion para la Formacion e Investigacion Sanitarias de la Region de Murcia n=68
NCT04849858 TERMINATED
Pilot Study of Liposomal Bupivacaine Redosing in Patients Undergoing Major Gynecologic Procedures
University of California, Irvine n=13
NCT04970368 TERMINATED
Comparison of Nodal Staging in Endometrial Cancer
Frederick R. Ueland, M.D. n=38
NCT05712941 WITHDRAWN
Comparison of Letrozole With Lerociclib Versus Letrozole With Placebo Control in Patients With Advanced/Metastatic or Recurrent, Grade 1 or Grade 2 Endometrial Cancer
EQRx International, Inc.
NCT01470677 COMPLETED
Tachosil for the Prevention of Symptomatic Lymph Cysts
Ruhr University of Bochum n=220
NCT01672892 COMPLETED
Standard Versus Intensity-Modulated Pelvic Radiation Therapy in Treating Patients With Endometrial or Cervical Cancer
Radiation Therapy Oncology Group n=289
NCT04237090 COMPLETED
Feasibility of a Clinical Trial Comparing the Use of Cetirizine to Replace Diphenhydramine in the Prevention of Reactions Related to Paclitaxel
Ciusss de L'Est de l'Île de Montréal n=27
NCT03285802 COMPLETED
Treatment Plan for an Individual Patient With Recurrent Uterine Papillary Serous Carcinoma (UPSC) With PIK3CA Gene Mutation
Greater Baltimore Medical Center n=1
NCT01767155 COMPLETED
Zoptarelin Doxorubicin (AEZS 108) as Second Line Therapy for Endometrial Cancer
AEterna Zentaris n=511
NCT00883116 TERMINATED
A Study of Ixabepilone as Second-line Therapy for Locally Advanced, Recurrent, or Metastatic Endometrial Cancer
R-Pharm n=551

Full Endometrial Cancer Pipeline

Every trial across Phase 1–4, plus enrollment analytics. Sortable, filterable, exportable.

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Frequently asked

Common questions about the Endometrial Cancer landscape

How many companies are developing Endometrial Cancer treatments?
7 companies have active or registered Endometrial Cancer programs in TheraRadar's competitive landscape (56 classified trials). The most active are GSK, Merck & Co., and Eisai.
What mechanisms of action are being developed for Endometrial Cancer?
9 distinct mechanisms of action appear across the Endometrial Cancer pipeline, including PD-1 (dostarlimab), Multikinase (VEGFR), PD-1 (pembrolizumab), TROP-2 ADC (next-gen), and MUC16 × CD3.
What is the most crowded mechanism in Endometrial Cancer?
PD-1 (dostarlimab) is the most contested mechanism in Endometrial Cancer, with 4 programs mapped to it.
Are there upcoming Endometrial Cancer clinical readouts or FDA decisions?
Near-term Endometrial Cancer catalysts include pembrolizumab (FDA decision, Aug '26); Lenvatinib (FDA decision, Oct '26); Lenvatinib Capsules (FDA decision, Oct '26). Dates combine estimated trial primary-completion readouts and confirmed FDA decision dates.
Where does TheraRadar's Endometrial Cancer landscape data come from?
Programs are derived from industry-sponsored ClinicalTrials.gov registrations (2008–present) and classified by mechanism of action using a curated rule set plus an LLM pipeline. Every cell links to its underlying trials, so each program is verifiable.
Is the Endometrial Cancer heatmap free to use?
Yes — viewing and searching the Endometrial Cancer heatmap is free. A TheraRadar Pro subscription adds advanced filters, row/column selection, and one-click export to PowerPoint, PDF, and CSV.
How this is built — methodology & limits

These grids are only as good as the data and the classification behind them — so here is exactly what goes in, what stays out, how every assignment is made, and where the limits are.

Where the data comes from

Every heatmap is built from the public ClinicalTrials.gov registry, via its official API — interventional drug and biologic trials with a start date of 2008 or later. The master index holds over 145,000 trials and is refreshed weekly (see the “updated” date on this page). A disease landscape draws only from the active, Phase 1–3, industry-sponsored slice of that index.

  • In scope: industry-sponsored trials in Phase 1, 2, or 3, with an active status (recruiting, active-not-recruiting, not-yet-recruiting, or enrolling by invitation). Phase 4 sits in the index but is left out of the landscapes.
  • Filtered out: deeply stale programs (a primary completion date more than two years past with no update to completed or terminated); basket trials and incidental mentions (a trial counts toward a disease only when that disease is genuinely the subject of study — not a secondary cohort, an organ-of-origin overlap, or a passing mention); and healthy-volunteer studies.

We do not exclude trials by sponsor geography. Where a sponsor is based in China, the program is flagged on the page rather than hidden, so you can weigh it yourself. An automated test fails the weekly refresh if the underlying index is more than 14 days old, so a published grid is never built on a stale index.

How a trial is matched to a disease

Matching uses a structured medical ontology, not keyword guessing, and is designed so that no trial is ever silently dropped — every trial that clears the filters gets a classification, even if that is just “Other.” It runs as an ordered sequence of steps, stopping at the first that applies:

  1. Healthy-volunteer studies are set aside as non-disease trials.
  2. Ontology match — each tracked disease is linked to its official identifiers in the standard medical taxonomy (MeSH), so a trial can be matched even when its text uses a synonym.
  3. Curated disease patterns — a hand-maintained library of over 150 disease-name patterns covers the more granular indications across oncology, hematology, infectious disease, cardiometabolic, immunology, and neuropsychiatry.
  4. Basket guard — a trial matching four or more distinct diseases, or carrying explicit basket language (“tumor-agnostic,” “all solid tumors,” “pan-cancer”), is grouped into a single advanced-solid-tumor category rather than over-counted across every cancer it touches.
  5. Therapeutic-area roll-up — a trial with no specific match, but which the taxonomy still places under a broad area, is assigned to that area (“Oncology — other,” “Immunology — other,” …), checking cancers first so a site-specific tumor isn’t filed under its anatomical system.

A “drop-if-parent-present” rule keeps a generic name from drowning out a subtype: a trial matching both lupus and lupus nephritis is reported only as lupus nephritis. Internal abbreviations are translated to the plain disease names used across the site (for example, “CRC” becomes “Colorectal Cancer”), and the same classifier is shared by every heatmap, so the same trial always maps to the same disease wherever it appears.

How a drug is matched to its mechanism

Mechanism of action is the hardest part to get right, so it is assigned in layers — leaning on curated and public data first, with AI as a last resort:

  1. Curated rulebook (first). A rulebook we maintain — over 600 drug-to-mechanism rules — is checked first, matching on drug names, trial acronyms, sponsor trial identifiers, and intervention lists. First match wins, which stops a combination trial from being counted several times.
  2. Public molecular-target data. Where no rule applies, each intervention’s target is looked up in a public target database, with verbose or gene-symbol labels normalized into consistent short forms so one target isn’t split across several columns.
  3. Standard-of-care backbones. A small set of rules recognizes common combination scaffolds (checkpoint-inhibitor monotherapy, standard chemotherapy regimens, established standard-of-care agents) so they aren’t mistaken for the experimental arm.
  4. AI as a last resort, then cross-checked. Only for genuinely opaque sponsor code-names that none of the first three steps can resolve do we ask an AI model to propose a mechanism — applied only above a fixed confidence bar, then automatically cross-checked against the sponsor’s own pipeline page. Where AI and the sponsor agree, the program is marked sponsor-verified. Where they contradict, the label is discarded entirely — not shown, not counted.

New mechanism rules are independently double-verified before they’re trusted — a second, adversarial pass set up to disprove the first — and each is checked so it can’t mislabel an unrelated trial. Drugs whose mechanism isn’t publicly disclosed are shown openly as “Emerging — not yet disclosed” rather than guessed at: for a tool meant to support real decisions, “we don’t yet know” is a more trustworthy answer than a confident guess.

Where AI is used — and where it isn’t

The disease and mechanism matching above is driven first by deterministic rules and public ontologies, not AI. AI plays three bounded, disclosed roles: (1) an optional extra check that a trial genuinely studies the disease, on top of the ontology match; (2) inferring a trial’s treatment setting on the competitive grids when the rules don’t cover it, only above a fixed confidence bar; and (3) the last-resort mechanism step above, always cross-checked against the sponsor’s disclosures. Wherever an AI label reaches a cell, the page marks it (⚙️ or ✅) — AI is never the silent, sole source of what you see.

What the on-page markers mean

  • ✅ Sponsor-verified — AI proposed the mechanism and it matched the sponsor’s own pipeline page. High-trust.
  • ⚙️ AI-classified — AI proposed it above the confidence bar but it has not yet been cross-checked against the sponsor. Useful; verify before citing. It never means a person reviewed it.
  • ⚡ First-in-class — the mechanism hasn’t appeared in any other disease landscape we’ve built. This reflects the scope of landscapes published so far (the tooltip lists exactly which were scanned), not an absolute claim about the whole market.
  • 🌱 First-in-indication — the only program competing on that mechanism within this disease.
  • 🆕 NME candidate — the interventions match no drug in our approved-drug index, suggesting a new molecular entity. The index is incomplete — a signal, not a regulatory fact.
  • 🔗 Combination · 👶 Pediatric · 🔥 Hot (readout within six months) · ⏳ Stale (completion date passed but still marked active — often a stalled program).

Sponsor names are resolved through a curated parent/subsidiary map; unrecognized sponsors appear under their raw registry name. The registry records the sponsor at a trial’s inception, so names are as originally filed and may not reflect later acquisitions. To keep large grids legible, mechanisms with a single program are listed separately rather than crowding the main grid, and very small players are listed below it — presentation choices only; nothing is removed from the underlying counts.

How we score programs — “what’s about to move”

Each program carries a 0–100 score that deliberately ranks imminence over raw stage — the most decision-relevant signal on a competitive grid. It is the sum of:

  • Clinical phase — up to 40 points (Phase 3 = 40, Phase 2 = 25, Phase 1 = 10).
  • Readout proximity — up to 60 points (next readout <6 months = 60, 6–12 months = 45, 1–2 years = 30, distant = 5).
  • Stale penalty — the score is halved if a trial is past its expected readout but still listed as active.

Cell colour on the grid is driven by this score, so a Phase 2 program about to read out can — correctly — outrank a dormant Phase 3 one. It answers “what’s about to move,” not just “what’s furthest along.”

What each grid plots

  • Indication landscape (this page) — one disease — companies (rows) × mechanism of action (columns): who is competing, and on what mechanism.
  • Company portfolio — one company — diseases (rows) × mechanism (columns): where it is active, and what it is betting on.
  • MOA platform — one mechanism family — drugs (rows) × diseases (columns): who is working on this class, and where.
  • Competitive landscape — one disease — mechanism (rows) × clinical setting (columns), aggregated across companies; setting columns are tailored per disease (e.g. lines of therapy in oncology; biologic-naïve vs. biologic-experienced in IBD).

What we don’t claim

  • First-in-class is editorial, not absolute — “not seen in the landscapes we’ve built,” not “novel across the industry.”
  • NME candidate is a signal, not a filing — absent from our (incomplete) approved-drug index.
  • Disease matching is automated and not exhaustively validated per disease — ontology and pattern matching can occasionally include or miss a trial.
  • AI-classified mechanisms are machine-proposed — unconfirmed unless they also carry ✅.
  • Sponsor names are as-filed and may lag current ownership.
  • Grids are as fresh as their last rebuild from the weekly index — no faster continuous refresh is claimed.

Data: ClinicalTrials.gov v2 API + FDA Drugs@FDA (approved-drug index). Spot an error? [email protected].

Data: ClinicalTrials.gov · Trials registered 2008 onwards · Industry sponsors only